Earned Settlement: Has the Government Started to Rethink the 10-Year ILR Proposal?

UK Visa News Earned Settlement: Has the Government Started to Rethink the 10-Year ILR Proposal?
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There may finally be some movement on one of the biggest unanswered questions facing Skilled Workers in the UK: what happens to people who came here expecting to qualify for settlement after five years?

At the Labour Party Conference on 28 September 2026, Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood made an important statement about the Government’s proposed earned settlement reforms.

She acknowledged that concerns had been raised about the fairness of elements of the proposals and said:

“We will come to a position that balances fairness for those who came here legally and fairness to British citizens across this country.”

That wording matters.

The Government has not withdrawn the earned settlement proposals.

It has not confirmed that existing Skilled Workers will retain the five-year route to Indefinite Leave to Remain (ILR).

And it has not yet published the final transitional arrangements.

But the political tone appears to have shifted.

What was originally proposed?

Under the Government’s proposed earned settlement model, the standard qualifying period for settlement would move from five years to 10 years.

The qualifying period could then potentially be shortened or increased, depending on factors such as an individual’s earnings, skills, contribution and conduct.

Some groups could face an even longer qualifying period.

The proposals have caused particular concern because of the possibility that they could affect migrants already living and working in the UK, including people who entered the country believing they were on a five-year route to settlement.

Why has the position become more interesting?

During Labour Party Conference, significant pressure has emerged over the retrospective effect of the proposals.

The debate has focused particularly on overseas care workers.

Newspaper reports have suggested that the Government is now considering whether aspects of the proposed reforms should be softened following concerns raised by Labour MPs, trade unions and others.

The Times reported that the Home Secretary is reconsidering aspects of the reforms following opposition within the Labour Party. The Guardian similarly reported that her conference remarks appeared to leave open the possibility of changes to the proposals.

Most importantly, however, we now have the Home Secretary's own words.

In her official Labour Party Conference speech she said that although the Government remains committed to ensuring settlement is “earned”, it recognises that some elements of the proposals have been criticised as unfair.

Does this mean existing Skilled Workers are protected?

No, not yet.

This distinction is extremely important.

There is currently no published transitional rule saying:

Existing Skilled Workers will remain on the five-year route.

Nor has the Government announced that everyone who entered the UK before a particular date will be protected.

The current political controversy has concentrated heavily on care workers, so it would be premature to assume that any concession ultimately made for that group will automatically extend to every Skilled Worker.

However, the Home Secretary's reference to fairness for “those who came here legally” is noticeably broader than a reference solely to care workers.

That is why her statement is significant.

What happens to someone approaching five years now?

For the moment, the law has not changed.

There has been no new Immigration Rule bringing the proposed 10-year earned settlement model into force.

Therefore, someone currently approaching eligibility for ILR under the Skilled Worker route should continue to assess their position under the Immigration Rules in force at the time of their application.

Applicants who are approaching their settlement date should not assume from newspaper headlines either that:

the five-year route has disappeared, or that they have now been guaranteed protection from future changes.

Neither conclusion is currently correct.

The biggest question remains transitional arrangements

For thousands of existing Skilled Workers, the most important part of the eventual policy may not actually be the new 10-year baseline.

It will be the transitional provisions.

The crucial questions include:

Will people already on a five-year settlement route be protected?

Will protection depend on when someone first entered the Skilled Worker route?

Will there be a cut-off date?

Could someone with four years of qualifying residence suddenly be required to complete additional years?

Will different transitional rules apply to different occupations?

Those questions remain unanswered.

And until the Government publishes the final policy and Immigration Rules, nobody should treat speculation about grandfathering as settled law.

Where we are now

What happened at Labour Party Conference is important, but it is a political signal, not an immigration rule change.

The Government still appears committed to the principle of earned settlement.

What now seems less certain is how far the new system will be applied retrospectively to people who are already in the UK.

For existing Skilled Workers, that distinction could be enormous.

Someone who relocated to the UK, established a career and family life, and planned their future around a five-year settlement route will understandably want to know whether the rules they entered under will continue to apply to them.

We are now waiting for the Government to provide that answer.

Until then:

  • The current Skilled Worker settlement rules remain in force.
  • The 10-year qualifying period has not yet replaced the current rules.
  • Existing Skilled Workers have not yet been formally guaranteed five-year transitional protection.
  • But the Government is now publicly acknowledging the fairness concerns surrounding the proposed reforms.

That makes the forthcoming transitional arrangements one of the most important immigration policy announcements to watch this autumn.

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